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New “Cookie Poll” Predicts Election, Guess Who’s on Top?

New “Cookie Poll” Predicts Election, Guess Who’s on Top?

Swing states have always been crucial in U.S. elections, but this time they’re more important than ever. These battlegrounds can decide the presidency, and both candidates know it. Voters in places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin aren’t just voting for themselves—they’re determining the future of the country. In close races, it’s not about national polling; it’s about where those undecided voters in swing states land.

Pennsylvania, in particular, has everyone’s attention. The Keystone State is a microcosm of the nation, with rural voters leaning red and urban centers tilting blue. It’s no surprise that both Trump and Harris are fighting hard for every vote there. But while polls are one thing, sometimes the most unexpected indicators tell the real story. Enter Lochel’s Bakery and their now-famous “cookie poll.”

Former President Donald Trump is absolutely trouncing Vice President Kamala Harris in the traditional “cookie poll” held by Lochel’s Bakery in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania — a suburb of Philadelphia…

Well, the sales, the red is leading by a lot,” she replied. “By a lot … the tally was just updated, you’re new to see it, but almost by 4,000 cookies.”

The totals, according to the boards posted in the shop, said that 4,228 Trump cookies had sold, compared to just 369 Harris cookies. [Source: Daily Wire]

In this cookie contest, Trump is cleaning up. Lochel’s Bakery, located in a Philly suburb, has a tradition of selling cookies decorated with the candidates’ names. Whoever sells the most cookies, they say, usually wins the election. This year? Trump is absolutely crushing Harris. According to the bakery’s latest tally, Trump cookies are flying off the shelves. As of the latest count, they’ve sold 4,228 Trump cookies compared to a mere 369 for Harris.

Now, no one’s saying cookie sales are the gold standard of political polling, but that margin is hard to ignore. When a small business sees one candidate’s cookies outselling the other by nearly 4,000, it certainly raises some eyebrows. And this isn’t the first time the “cookie poll” has drawn attention. It’s become a beloved tradition that people from all over come to witness.

For Lochel’s Bakery, the success of the “cookie poll” is great for business. The bakery owner, when asked about the sales during a local news segment, couldn’t hide her excitement. “The red is leading by a lot,” she said. And by a lot, she means nearly 4,000 cookies ahead. She stressed that there’s no political bias at play—it’s just good old-fashioned business.

In fact, the bakery sees the poll as a way to bring in customers at a time when small businesses are struggling. “Prices are really high right now,” the owner explained, citing increases in basic ingredients like eggs and butter. Selling thousands of cookies with Trump and Harris’s names plastered on them is driving people through the doors, and helping her keep the business afloat.

The local news reporter was just as stunned by the results, repeating that no, this wasn’t a typo—Trump had sold over 4,000 cookies, while Harris had barely moved past 400. Clearly, Harris voters have some catching up to do, both in the bakery and at the ballot box.

It’s not just about cookies, though. The enthusiasm for Trump in places like Pennsylvania, even in fun, quirky polls like this one, is a sign that the race is far from over. And if this cookie poll has any predictive power—as it has in past elections—Harris might want to rethink her strategy in these swing states. Because when it comes to winning hearts, minds, and apparently stomachs, Trump is in the lead.

Author: Bo Dogan


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