Since President Joe Biden took office, pundits and pollsters alike have been anticipating a red tsunami in November 2022. Now, records from voting registration — especially those in the key swing states — are showing evidence of this shift in voter opinion.
According to a recent AP survey, large numbers of registered voters have recently switched their party affiliation to the GOP. Over 1 million people changed their registration from Democrat to Republican in the study’s 1.7 million changes.
From Atlanta to Los Angeles, analysts have noted a rise in registrations. However, the registration drive in the suburban sections of key swing states is particularly noteworthy, as it shows that some of the suburban voters who switched their support during the Trump White House from Republicans have returned to the GOP.
According to the AP, “Republicans have increased their number of party changers in 168 of the 235 suburban counties they looked at over the last year — 72 percent — compared to the final years of the Trump administration.”
Suburban counties in states such as North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Iowa, and Virginia, have all moved significantly toward the GOP.
In the 2020 presidential election, FiveThirtyEight reported that Biden was able to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan by “increasing on [Hillary] Clinton’s margins in mostly suburban and exurban jurisdictions surrounding major cities like Milwaukee, Detroit, and Philadelphia, where there are more white voters with a college degree that supported the Democratic ticket — a trend that was true across the nation.”
Even in the usual Democrat strongholds such as Los Angeles and suburban Denver, the trend appears to have reversed course.
“Biden and the Democrats are way out of touch with the Americans, which is why voters are flocking to the GOP in droves,” RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel said. “For cycles to come, American communities will trend Republican as a result of this disconnect.”
The momentum appears to be on the side of Republicans, with just over four months until Election Day. Gas prices are high, a baby formula scarcity has hit the market, drag queen story hours have been announced, and now there’s the Dobbs decision from the Supreme Court that has overturned Roe v. Wade. These issues are all serious socio-economic concerns that Republicans can use on the campaign trail.